Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.042742 0.049726 0.057489 0.066758 0.077527 0.089648 0.104334
2025-11-23 0.031648 0.040717 0.051843 0.066503 0.085325 0.108702 0.139988
2025-11-30 0.025753 0.035775 0.049031 0.067858 0.093947 0.128881 0.179329
2025-12-07 0.021173 0.031320 0.045595 0.067159 0.098969 0.144273 0.213915
2025-12-14 0.017549 0.027403 0.042023 0.065314 0.101574 0.156038 0.244404
2025-12-21 0.014775 0.024212 0.038889 0.063405 0.103452 0.166523 0.273900
2025-12-28 0.013235 0.022662 0.037969 0.064665 0.110228 0.185158 0.318451
2026-01-04 0.011796 0.021034 0.036642 0.064970 0.115318 0.201488 0.361129
2026-01-11 0.010568 0.019570 0.035357 0.065095 0.119985 0.217501 0.405152
2026-01-18 0.009646 0.018511 0.034610 0.066020 0.126099 0.236654 0.457150
2026-01-25 0.008959 0.017785 0.034351 0.067766 0.133881 0.259669 0.519219
2026-02-01 0.007901 0.016196 0.032262 0.065712 0.134052 0.268257 0.554263
2026-02-08 0.007166 0.015168 0.031160 0.065522 0.138017 0.284956 0.608369
2026-02-15 0.006475 0.014138 0.029927 0.064908 0.141041 0.300170 0.661569
2026-02-22 0.006040 0.013589 0.029606 0.066158 0.148137 0.324637 0.737805
2026-03-01 0.005488 0.012707 0.028465 0.065462 0.150874 0.340084 0.796101
2026-03-08 0.004915 0.011702 0.026925 0.063661 0.150868 0.349447 0.841701
2026-03-15 0.004406 0.010776 0.025446 0.061800 0.150463 0.357811 0.886003
2026-03-22 0.004158 0.010439 0.025281 0.063028 0.157547 0.384411 0.977899
2026-03-29 0.003874 0.009978 0.024763 0.063325 0.162388 0.406233 1.060841
2026-04-05 0.003607 0.009523 0.024204 0.063447 0.166797 0.427524 1.145282
2026-04-12 0.003405 0.009211 0.023963 0.064348 0.173326 0.454925 1.249435
2026-04-19 0.003259 0.009026 0.024023 0.066050 0.182187 0.489411 1.377313